Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.140030 0.163961 0.190293 0.221357 0.256935 0.296342 0.343229
2026-02-01 0.097582 0.128977 0.167344 0.217377 0.280565 0.357345 0.457297
2026-02-08 0.074178 0.107540 0.151664 0.213642 0.297678 0.406776 0.558073
2026-02-15 0.057384 0.090060 0.136281 0.205372 0.304716 0.440827 0.639451
2026-02-22 0.050585 0.084825 0.136030 0.216570 0.338005 0.511715 0.775648
2026-03-01 0.041362 0.074005 0.125532 0.210646 0.344905 0.544924 0.860521
2026-03-08 0.033827 0.064382 0.115146 0.202932 0.347334 0.570656 0.935368
2026-03-15 0.028385 0.057255 0.107564 0.198333 0.353481 0.601711 1.019901
2026-03-22 0.025252 0.053671 0.105354 0.202176 0.373357 0.655484 1.143785
2026-03-29 0.023277 0.051899 0.106016 0.210904 0.402049 0.725518 1.298931
2026-04-05 0.020984 0.049085 0.104312 0.215004 0.422810 0.783661 1.438367
2026-04-12 0.018620 0.045696 0.100998 0.215577 0.437050 0.831432 1.563291
2026-04-19 0.016415 0.042320 0.097352 0.215275 0.450009 0.878674 1.692240
2026-04-26 0.014281 0.038722 0.092759 0.212546 0.458112 0.917956 1.810360
2026-05-03 0.012392 0.035330 0.088085 0.208992 0.464076 0.953511 1.923997
2026-05-10 0.010460 0.031431 0.081685 0.200895 0.459919 0.969413 2.001993
2026-05-17 0.010014 0.031299 0.083894 0.211874 0.496049 1.065277 2.237450
2026-05-24 0.008624 0.028331 0.078937 0.206066 0.496066 1.090188 2.337900
2026-05-31 0.007339 0.025374 0.073540 0.198505 0.491404 1.105134 2.419508
2026-06-07 0.006377 0.023149 0.069645 0.193996 0.492955 1.132668 2.527815
2026-06-14 0.005885 0.022271 0.069148 0.197763 0.513617 1.201405 2.724195
2026-06-21 0.005624 0.022081 0.070489 0.206319 0.546143 1.297474 2.982868
2026-06-28 0.005213 0.021308 0.070096 0.210338 0.568257 1.372565 3.202135